|
Current World Economic Situation
|
|
|
|
|
The principal aspect of the world economic situation
at present has improved to some extent. The negative
influence of the Asian financial crisis has kept on easing
up, the international financial environment has turned for
better and the economic growth in the United States is still
fairly strong. The prospect of the world economy on the
whole is better than last year. But the unbalanced
development is still pregnant with grim possibilities, the
disparity between the North and the South has further
widened and there are still many unstable
factors.
Owing to the improvement of
their external environment and internal readjustment and
reform, those countries afflicted by the Asian financial
crisis have shown good sings in varying degrees, such as a
favorable balance in current accounts, an increase in
foreign exchange reserve, a reflow of capital, a rally in
stock market, a gradual stability in exchange rate and a
reduction of short-term foreign debts. But the rejuvenation
is still fragile. The growth rate of the economy in Latin
America has dropped apparently which needs a process of
rally and resurgence. The launching of Eurodollar is helpful
to the optimization and readjustment of the industrial
structure inside the European Union and the momentum of the
economic development is expected to recover step by step.
The Kosovo war has caused disastrous damages to the economy
and the infrastructure of the Republic of Yugoslavia, but
the influence is mainly in the surrounding areas. A strong
momentum of resurgence appeared in the first quarter of this
year in Japan. Further incentive measures will be favorable
to maintaining the momentum of resurgence. Behind the good
condition of "high growth, low inflation and low
unemployment", the economy in the United States is
faced with a negative savings rate, a widening of the
unfavorable balance of international trade and an increase
of stock market risks.
Since the
beginning of this year, though its economy has been under
the serious lagging influence of the regional financial and
economic crisis, China has persisted in implementing a
stable exchange rate policy and, by adopting proactive
financial and monetary policies, has spared no effort to
boost domestic demand and maintain the momentum of economic
development, thus continuing to make positive contributions
to the recovery of the regional economy. We have all along
adopted an active and enterprising attitude to participate
in the economic cooperation with neighboring countries and
in the world.
We are pleased to note
that the regional and inter-region cooperation is becoming
active again. The summit of 48 countries of the European
Union and Latin America has determined to establish a
strategic relationship between the two sides. The economic
cooperation in northeast Asia has shown new trends. The role
played by the South Common Market and the Andean Group is
being constantly strengthened. Developing countries have
vigorously carried out regional or sub-regional economic and
trade cooperation, displaying their active and enterprising
posture under the lash of the tidal current of
globalization.
On the whole, there are
still many uncertainties, but opportunities and risks exist
simultaneously. We hope that the principal developed
countries will adopt a responsible attitude to restrain the
speculative factors of international capital, and at the
same time, take practical actions as soon as possible to
truly alleviate the debt burdens for poor countries and
improve the external environment of developing countries for
the economic development. This will be beneficial to the
long-term prosperity of the economies of developed
countries.
|
|